Sunday, May 15, 2011

BYE, BYE HUCK

Mike Huckabee casts big shadow over early primary states in 2012 elections

“I want to run, I really, really do because I know you religious crazies out there on the far right of the GOP love you some Huck. But, for many, many reasons, mostly the $23,000 monthly mortgage on the new $3 million house we’re building in Florida, I just can’t afford to. So, instead of telling you what I’d do to beat Osama, pardon me, Obama, I’m going to tell you who will do the next best job after me. (dramatic cause to sniffle, look up at the ceiling and dramatically wipe away a tear) This saddens me because I would have been an awesome president and I’m going to miss playing the bass badly out there on the stump. (suddenly and bizarrely starts laughing) Sorry about that. God was telling me a joke about Mitt Romney’s magic Mormon underpants. Where was I? Oh yeah, so me and my good buddy Chuck Norris are going to have to find somebody to support this year and I’ll be letting the other candidates know when they can come by to kiss my ass. See ya later suckers! Oops, my bad. I meant, friends.”

 FROM THE “IGNORE MY PAST, LOOK AT ME NOW” STRATEGY OF NEWT GINGRICH

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich said Sunday that voters are entitled to ask questions about the “mistakes” he has made in his personal life but said he’s confident that many social conservatives will back him in his 2012 presidential bid.

Gingrich, who has been married three times and has admitted to past extramarital affairs, said on NBC’s Meet the Press that Americans should look to the “strong marriage” he has with his current wife (his 3rd), Callista, and consider the “forgiveness” he sought from God for his personal transgressions.  

“Every American has the right to ask these questions,” he said. “I have made mistakes in my life. I have had to go to God for forgiveness and to seek reconciliation. And I ask them to look at who I am today.”

Newt Gingrich: Ryan Medicare Plan Is ‘Too Big A Jump

COMMENTARY

So, if this is really how Mike Huckabee feels ‘I would have made a fine president’ (shouldn’t EVERY presidential candidate feel this way?), then why isn’t he running? I’ll you why: he realizes that he can’t beat Barack Obama, that’s why. It’s the same reasoning that has already forced Haley Barbour, Mike Pence and John Thune out of the race before it even really began. It’s the same reasoning why Indiana governor Mitch Daniels hasn’t or can’t make up his mind if he’s going to run or why other big names like Jeb Bush won’t run. They know that even with the economy where it is today, Tuesday, November 6, 2012 is a long, long time from now and anything can and probably will happen between before then. With the recent successful mission that ended in the death of Osama Bin Laden, President Obama went a long way in shoring up a perceived weakness: his ability to be a strong, decisive Commander-in-Chief. In the words of Secretary of Defense Robert Gates in a 60 Minutes interview scheduled to air tonight (the 15th), This was a very risky operation. So, I was very concerned. So was the President. … I worked for a lot of these guys [presidents] and this is one of the most courageous calls — decisions — that I think I’ve ever seen a president make.”

However, having said all that, I’m not about to sit back and relax. President Obama’s reelection is not a lock and the good news about that, is that he and his campaign management staff know this too. That’s why they’re already setting up shop in key early states and raising money for what’s going to be a tough, tough campaign.

Many pundits are already comparing the 2012 election to 1992 when an incumbent president coming off military success the previous year lost to a fairly obscure southern governor with a spotty (to say the least) personal background because of a faltering economy. The challenger, Bill Clinton, never lost his focus on the campaign trail while his managers Paul Begala and James Carville reminded everyone, “It’s the economy, stupid!” Not a small factor: Clinton was much younger and more energetic than George H. W. Bush and also conveyed to the American people a sense that he was one of them and that he understood their pain. His ultimately successful campaign was also helped by the fact that Bush, usually a man with sharp political sense and skill, ran as an incumbent and the ultimate Washington insider which turned out to be his biggest mistake.

Twenty years later, the script has been flipped somewhat. Unless the GOP nominee is Sarah Palin – there’s a better chance of Donald ***** receiving a NAACP Image Award – Barack Obama will be younger than his opponent (Tim Pawlenty is already 50 while Obama turns that age in August) and according to his campaign, is running as an “incumbent challenger.” It’s the GOP searching for a strong candidate to coalesce behind and President Obama and his campaign managers have the good fortune to be able to look back at George H. W. Bush’s reelection campaign and learn from it.

Also, and this in no way is meant to denigrate his accomplishments, but Barack Obama, starting with his 2004 election to the US Senate, has been blessed to run against the weakest candidates the Republican Party possible. 2004 – Alan Keyes had to be imported after Jack Ryan’s campaign imploded due to a sex scandal involving his ex-wife, actress Jeri Ryan. 2008 – John McCain and Sarah Palin. Enough said.

But, just as Phil Jackson has been belittled by some for having the good fortune of having some of the game’s greatest players in both Chicago and Los Angeles while winning 11 NBA titles as a head coach, to overlook Barack Obama’s skill as a politician and manager who hires the right people, sets the agenda and standards and then lets them do their job, is to ignore one of his greatest strengths: he knows how to win.

Barack Obama is a winner and that’s why, even with an economy that seemingly could go either way depending on the day of the week, many establishment Republicans are deciding to save their political capital and stay on the sidelines in 2012. Their decision, while probably wise on a personal note, means that the nation’s late-night comics are going to have a field day with what will most likely be the weakest Republican presidential candidate pool in decades. In fact, one GOP strategist said, “We’re probably looking at the worst presidential candidate since Wendell Willkie.” If that’s true, let the comedy gold flow. 

Herman Cain: We’re not No. 2

 “This is how big I was originally, but it was hard finding pants I could fit into. Plus, it was hard getting around the pizza ovens. So, after a lot of hard thought, I made the hard decision to have a penal reduction operation and now I’m a normal 9 & ½ inches. But, I’ll be honest with you – hardly a day or night goes by without my looking back on the hardest decision of my life.” 

POSSIBLE MITT ROMNEY CAMPAIGN SLOGAN

“What Was Good For Massachusetts Isn’t Good For America.”

RANDOM THOUGHTS

If it’s now Obama’s economy as most, if not all of the president’s opponents say it is, despite his having inherited it from George W. Bush, why isn’t the recent success in hunting down Osama Bin Laden “his” as well? I’m just asking. 

Sudden thought: What if this is the best the Republicans have to offer this time around?

 

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